Legislative Bulletin

MARCH 23, 2001


February revenue report
Sagging collections of individual income taxes
another dramatic sign of slowing national economy

Individual income tax collections came in $125 million below budget last month, one of the most dramatic signs yet of the slowing national economy. The state had expected to collect $428.1 million in personal income taxes but received just $302.9 million, according to numbers NCCBI obtained from the State Controller's Office. Compare those numbers to February 2000 when the state racked up $494.5 million in individual income tax collections. See chart below.

Corporate income taxes remained weak in February and are now nearly $100 million below target for the year. Sales tax collections broke through to positive ground for the month, with $277.5 million collected vs. $263 million budgeted, but the year-to-date total is still more than $77million below forecast at $2.34 billion vs. $2.41 billion. Franchise tax collections remain one of the few bright spots in the state budget, with $52.7 million collected in the month vs. $45.4 million budgeted. For the year, franchise taxes are nearly $36 million over budget and are the only major line item in positive territory.

Meanwhile, North Carolina’s seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate for February climbed a bit to 4.4 percent to surpass the national average for the first time since January 1982, according to the Employment Security Commission (ESC). The state jobless rate was 4.2 percent in January and 3.5 last February 2000.The national unemployment rate held steady at 4.2 percent in February.

During the past year, the N.C. civilian labor force has increased by 84,200 to 4,013,200. Employment in the state has increased 44,700, to 3,837,600. During the same period, North Carolina experienced a net increase of approximately 72,000 jobs. 

Jobless
Rates

Feb. 2001

Jan. 2001

Dec. 2000

Nov. 2000

Oct. 2000

Sept. 2000

Aug. 2000

July 2000

June 2000

May 2000

Apr.
2000

Mar. 2000

N.C.

4.4

4.2

3.9

3.9

3.9

3.8

3.8

3.6

3.7

3.6

3.4

3.4

U.S.

4.2

4.2

4.0

4.0

3.9

3.9

4.1

4.0

4.0

4.1

4.0

4.0

General Fund Tax Revenues
$ in millions
February
2001
February
2000
Collected
This YTD
Collected
Last YTD
Budgeted,
This Year
Budgeted,
Last Year
Collected
v. Budget
Individual Income $302.90 $494.50 $4,698.20 $4,458.90 $7,650.70 $7,121.40 61%
Corporate Income -12.4 23.1 178.4 443 689.5 829.2 26%
Sales and Use 277.5 280.6 2,336.10 2,250.20 3,613.30 3,374.30 65%
Franchise 52.7 22.2 379.9 234.1 500.5 410.9 76%
Insurance 7.3 4.1 98 95.5 288.7 305.7 34%
Beverage 14.4 14.5 113.6 109.1 174 162.3 65%
Inheritance 8 17.1 79.4 125.9 152.7 137.5 52%
Soft Drink — 0.1 — 1.3 — 1.5 —
Privilege License 1 4.6 7.9 28.9 45 30.9 18%
Tobacco Products 3.4 3.6 28.2 29 42.4 42.8 67%
Real Estate 0.5 5.4 8.2 8.2 — — —
Gift 0.2 0.8 2.7 3.7 28.1 20.4 10%
White Goods 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 — — —
Scrap Tire 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.6 — — —
Freight Carr Lines — — — — 0.5 0.5 —
Piped Natural Gas 6 9.8 32.2 27.4 28.3 30 114%
Other — 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 17%
Total Tax Revenue 662.5 882.1 7,965.10 7,817.60 13,214.30 12,468.00 60%
 
Non-Tax Revenue
Treasurer’s Investments 16.5 15.7 121.6 146.6 214 236.2 57%
Judicial Fees 9.7 8.6 70.9 67.7 112.8 127 63%
Insurance 0.1 — 11.8 5.9 42.1 41.4 28%
Disproportionate Share — — 109.1 105 106 105 103%
Highway Fund Transfer In — — 6.8 6.8 13.8 13.6 49%
Highway Trust  Fund Transfer In — — 170 170 170 170 100%
Other 18.7 7.4 130.5 74 177.3 114.7 74%
Total Non-Tax Revenue 45 31.7 620.7 576 836 807.9 74%
Total  Revenue $707.5 $913.8 $8,585.8 $8,393.6 $14,050.3 $13,275.9 61%
Bond Proceeds — — 300 200 300 200 100%
Total Availability $1,484.4 $2,320.6 $8,885.8 $9,556.3 $14,350.3 $14,438.6 62%

 

 

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